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Reports

Who is Jim Shepherd?

Jim Shepherd is known for his independence, objectivity and integrity and by the fact that his predictions and advice are often at odds...
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The Great Bull Market 1982-2000

Throughout history bull markets have been born out of pain and adversity and truly climb a wall of worry until they're on a firm footing...
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The Psychology of the Markets

One of the most difficult things for most investors to understand is that in the investment markets, often the opposite of what you feel...
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Interviews

February 1st, 2013

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Chuck Jaffe of MARKETWATCH on his 'Money Life Show'. To listen to the interview, CLICK HERE.

May 22, 2012

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Chuck Jaffe of MARKETWATCH on his 'Money Life Show'. To listen to the interview, CLICK HERE.

September, 2009

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by George Brooks of Equities magazine for their September 2009 issue: "A Case for the Bear ... Contrarian Jim Shepherd doesn't buy the bull".
[Read more]

February 5, 2008

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Chuck Jaffe on his 'Your Money' show On WBIX The Business Station AM1060.
[Play MP3]

September 28, 2007

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Chuck Jaffe on his 'Your Money' show On WBIX The Business Station AM1060.
[Play MP3]

June 25, 2007

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Chuck Jaffe on his 'Your Money' show On WBIX The Business Station AM1060.
[Play MP3]

June 13, 2005

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Mike Norman on BizRadio 1320.
[Play MP3]

March 1, 2005

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Mike Norman on BizRadio 1320.
[Play MP3]

December 27, 2004

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Victor Adair CKNW Money Talks.
[Play MP3]

July 29, 2004

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Victor Adair CKNW Money Talks.
[Play MP3]

May 26, 2004

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Victor Adair CKNW Money Talks.
[Play MP3]

March 3, 2004

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Chuck Jaffe on Business 1060. In the interview Jim referred to this page.
[Play MP3]

February 18, 2004

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Mike Norman on Business America Radio.
[Play MP3]

October 3, 2003

Jim Shepherd was interviewed by Chuck Jaffe on Business 1060.
[Play MP3]



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News Room

Below you'll find links to recent business and economic news articles that have the potential to impact the market and economy. They are selected from the hundreds of news items written every day, most of which do not reflect what is really important to the future direction of the economy and US stock market.
These items are posted on a random basis so it's worth visiting the site frequently to stay informed.


New
Are we in a bull market or a bear market?
New
WIDESPREAD SLOWDOWN IN US HOME PRICES
New
China’s housing plunge sparks clashes
New
Housing market stuck in downward spiral
25-Aug-2014
Central Bankers’ New Gospel: Spur Jobs, Wages and Inflation
24-Aug-2014
A Theory on Long-Term Economic Trends and a Sudden Crash
21-Aug-2014
Policy blunders pushing Europe into depression
21-Aug-2014
Fed's George says U.S. economy is ready for a rate hike
20-Aug-2014
Fed could hike interest rates sooner than expected
20-Aug-2014
Fed minutes: Some want 'relatively prompt' rate hike
20-Aug-2014
Dow 6,000: Wild prediction or worthwhile caution?
19-Aug-2014
Worse than the 1930s: Europe’s recession is really a depression
18-Aug-2014
FLECKENSTEIN: There’s 'No Chance' That This Ends Well
15-Aug-2014
Europe's recovery collapses
15-Aug-2014
US PPI up only 0.1% as gasoline prices tumble
15-Aug-2014
Stocks to see a 20% correction says expert
14-Aug-2014
Uh-oh: Trouble is brewing again in the repo market
14-Aug-2014
Eurozone growth grinds to a halt as German economy shrinks
13-Aug-2014
US retail sales flat in July
13-Aug-2014
Euro zone GDP: Brace yourself
13-Aug-2014
German inflation tumbles as eurozone struck by ‘lowflation’ gloom
12-Aug-2014
German investor confidence nosedives as Russia-west tensions hit economy
12-Aug-2014
Americans Plagued by Outstanding Debt
11-Aug-2014
Fed Official Warns ‘Disappointing’ Growth Could Foretell Future



Who Is Jim Shepherd?

The man who's been predicting the financial future since 1982


Jim Shepherd
Founder & President
Jim Shepherd is known for his independence, objectivity and integrity and by the fact that he is often at odds with opinions and recommendations being voiced by Wall Street. Jim Shepherd is one of the world's highest compensated investment strategists whose clients include financial advisors, brokers, economists, portfolio managers and wealthy individuals from around the world. Jim Shepherd holds a degree in business and commerce. However, it is his years of passionate research and experience in the US markets that has given him the sound and extraordinary knowledge and patience in predicting major changes in the US markets.

During the late 1970s Jim Shepherd identified the top of the real estate market and began selling all the holdings in his development company making his first million dollars at 26 years old. A couple of years later when people began forming line-ups around banks waiting to buy gold at over $800 per ounce, Jim again knew it was time to sell once again. The price of gold collapsed shortly thereafter.

However, Jim's success in commercial real estate development and precious metals had not been complimented by the advice he was receiving about the stock market. He had become increasingly unhappy with recommendations that were coming from so-called professionals who always seemed to promote an investment that had risen dramatically or one that fell shortly after being recommended.

From Jim's research it was disturbingly clear that most Wall Street firms' interests are routinely put ahead of their clients to the detriment of their clients' financial wellbeing. For example, investors who attempt to do their due diligence by following articles in the financial media, soon discover that Wall Street's interests often come ahead of good journalism in their search of continued advertising revenue provided by Wall Street firms.

Seeking a more reliable method, Jim did extensive research during the 1970s and eventually developed a model that accurately forecasted every major change in the US market while being back-tested over the previous 100-year period. During this research he gained further experience as an options trader for a firm in the San Diego area. In 1982 he began using his model in real time and since that time it has never failed to correctly predict a major change of direction of the US market. Jim receives data that are important indicators about changing economic conditions from a wide variety of independent and governmental agencies. The data, which is used in the mathematical calculations of his model, produce short, medium and long-term indicators about market direction.

Jim's first big success occurred in 1987 when his model signaled an approaching stock market crash approximately three weeks prior to the event. That knowledge allowed him and his clients to make millions on the day of the crash, October 19, 1987. During subsequent years Jim's model has issued several signals that have allowed him to either step aside to avoid steep losses in stocks or to be invested in stocks to take advantage of approaching upswings. Some memorable signals included a warning during the summer of 1998 about approaching equity problems that turned into what we now call the Asian debt defaults. A couple of months later Jim's model issued a new 'buy' signal during a period when most of the world's financial analysts were warning about an imminent stock market crash. In the months following that 'buy' signal the markets went on to make new highs until late 1999, when Jim's model signaled the end of the 'Great Bull Market for Stocks' by issuing a strong sell signal. At that time he recommended that his clients and newsletter subscribers sell all equities and use their funds to buy US 30-year Treasury Bonds. The sell-off in stocks began in earnest a few months later and by the spring of 2000, investors were well on their way to experiencing losses in their portfolios that would amount to several $Trillion dollars. Jim's clients and subscribers were insulated from those stock losses and when it came time to exit those Treasury Bonds in early 2008 they had accumulated gains of over 91%, during a period when most others had lost significant sums.

Further, in 2008, when most lost a minimum of 40% of their portfolio (and some much more), newsletter subscribers who followed Jim's recommendations were up a minimum of 22.96% on the year.

The rise in the stock market into 2012 has occurred due to the secret loans of as much as 16 trillion dollars at close to zero % interest, having been funneled to the banks from the Fed. This was proven only through the release of documents in November 2011 as a result of a lawsuit by Bloomberg. Had this information been open to the public, as it should have been, we would not have taken a certain position in 2009 which caused us to experience the losses of 2009-2011, as noted in our graphs on the site. This secret injection of money allowed the banks, which instead of using this money to support the real economy via loans to businesses, to put these monies to work in trading the stock market higher and paying themselves big bonuses once again. Now, here in 2012, with the volume of shares trading in the stock market severely depressed, the volume is down to less than half the old normal volume of a just a few years ago. This is due to a large number of investors, knowing it is being manipulated, having left the market in disgust. The market is now on a precipice.

The stock market is no longer the indicator it once was - that of showing where the real economy is supposedly going. This manipulation is setting the US up for the biggest market collapse in history. And this service, via Jim Shepherd's proprietary signal, intends on notifying subscribers of that drop just before it happens, allowing for the accrual of massive profits, which should be even greater than those that Mr. Shepherd made for his then clients in the 1987 crash.

Only after this event will there be such a hue and cry that the perpetrators of this blatent, but until recently completely secret activity of manipulation, be taken to task by the regulators and likely (and hopefully!) not only lose their financial winnings but all end up with lengthy prison terms.

Subscribers read his monthly newsletters and follow his investment recommendations in order to protect their investments and stay informed about approaching changes in the US markets and the economy in general.

Jim's philosophy is to avoid investing in individual stocks (to avoid owning the next Enron or Global Crossing), preferring instead a basket of stocks by owning a fund - usually an ETF - that represents a sector or an entire index such as the S&P 500, DJIA, or NASDAQ etc.

During periods when his model remains under the influence of a sell signal for stocks it would not be prudent to follow Wall Street's frequent advice to attempt to play bear market rallies, opting instead to follow Jim's recommendation to step aside or possibly purchase a bear market fund or ETF to capture profits during sell-offs that he identifies.